Results 31 to 40 of about 428,247 (157)

Breast Cancer Mortality Trends and Predictions to 2030 and Its Attributable Risk Factors in East and South Asian Countries

Frontiers in Nutrition, 2022
BackgroundAmidst the rising breast cancer burden in Asia, we aim to predict the future mortality risk due to breast cancer and identify the risk-attributable deaths for breast cancer among East and South Asian countries.MethodsWe used country-level data ...
Sumaira Mubarik, Rajesh Sharma, Syeda Rija Hussain, Mujahid Iqbal, Nawsherwan, Xiaoxue Liu, Chuanhua Yu   +6 more
doaj   +1 more source

Detecting Common Longevity Trends by a Multiple Population Approach [PDF]

, 2014
Recently the interest in the development of country and longevity risk models has been growing. The investigation of long-run equilibrium relationships could provide valuable information about the factors driving changes in mortality, in particular ...
D'Amato, V., Haberman, S., Piscopo, G., Russolillo, M., Trapani, L.   +4 more
core   +2 more sources

A Fuzzy-Random Extension of the Lee–Carter Mortality Prediction Model

International Journal of Computational Intelligence Systems
The Lee–Carter model is a useful dynamic stochastic model to represent the evolution of central mortality rates throughout time. This model only considers the uncertainty about the coefficient related to the mortality trend over time but not to the age ...
Jorge de Andrés-Sánchez, Laura González-Vila Puchades   +1 more
doaj   +1 more source

Modeling and Prediction of the Mortality Trend due to Accidents in Golestan Province Based on the Lee-carter Model

تحقیقات سلامت در جامعه, 2022
Introduction and purpose: Accidents are one of the main causes of death that impose a great socioeconomic burden on society. This study aimed to model and predict the trend of mortality due to accidents in Golestan province, Iran, from 2011 to 2020 ...
Alireza Heidari, Mohammad Javad Kabir, Sajad khodabandelu, Nahid Jafari, Zahra Khatirnamani, Masoumeh Gholami   +5 more
doaj  

A Comparison of Forecasting Mortality Models Using Resampling Methods

Mathematics, 2020
The accuracy of the predictions of age-specific probabilities of death is an essential objective for the insurance industry since it dramatically affects the proper valuation of their products.
David Atance, Ana Debón, Eliseo Navarro
doaj   +1 more source

Bayesian Mixture Modelling for Mortality Projection

Risks, 2021
Although a large number of mortality projection models have been proposed in the literature, relatively little attention has been paid to a formal assessment of the effect of model uncertainty.
Jackie Li, Atsuyuki Kogure
doaj   +1 more source

Credible Regression Approaches to Forecast Mortality for Populations with Limited Data

Risks, 2019
In this paper, we propose a credible regression approach with random coefficients to model and forecast the mortality dynamics of a given population with limited data.
Apostolos Bozikas, Georgios Pitselis
doaj   +1 more source

On the effectiveness of natural hedging for insurance companies and pension plans [PDF]

, 2015
Natural hedging is one possible method to reduce longevity risk exposure for an annuity provider or a pension plan. In this paper, we provide an assessment of the effectiveness of natural hedging between annuity and life products, using the correlated ...
Barbarin, Bayraktar, Box, Brouhns, Cairns, Cairns, Carter, Chan, Coughlan, Cowley, Cox, Cox, Cox, Creighton, Cummins, Dahl, Dahl, Debón, Delwarde, Dowd, Dowd, D’Amato, Gatzert, Gründl, Hatzopoulos, Hyndman, Jackie Li, Jarner, Kogure, Lee, Li, Li, Li, Li, Lin, Liu, Milevsky, Ngai, Plat, Renshaw, Russolillo, Steven Haberman, Tsai, Tsai, Villegas, Wang, Wang, Yang, Zhou, Zhou   +49 more
core   +1 more source

Backtesting the Lee–Carter and the Cairns–Blake–Dowd Stochastic Mortality Models on Italian Death Rates

Risks, 2017
This work proposes a backtesting analysis that compares the Lee–Carter and the Cairns–Blake–Dowd mortality models, employing Italian data. The mortality data come from the Italian National Statistics Institute (ISTAT) database and span the period 1975 ...
Carlo Maccheroni, Samuel Nocito
doaj   +1 more source

Hybrid of the Lee-Carter Model with Maximum Overlap Discrete Wavelet Transform Filters in Forecasting Mortality Rates

Mathematics, 2021
This study implements various, maximum overlap, discrete wavelet transform filters to model and forecast the time-dependent mortality index of the Lee-Carter model.
Nurul Aityqah Yaacob, Jamil J. Jaber, Dharini Pathmanathan, Sadam Alwadi, Ibrahim Mohamed   +4 more
doaj   +1 more source